Salutations Senors, Senoras, Senoritas, Statisticians & Strategists,

(Today’s post is sponsored by the letter ‘S’)

Hi, I’m Super Safi and you may remember me from such stats and strategy posts as KEM Farming and the advanced losing-to-win Superheroes battle strategy.

What better way to spend your time than talking math. So from time-to-time, I’ll come to you with a post that delves into the wonderful world of numbers, stats, and/or strategies.

Today we look at the Go Kart Track.

*Go Kart Track Odds Table*

Odds |
Payout |
XP |
% Chance |

2-1 | $15,000 | 100XP | 66.01% |

9-1 | $50,000 | 150XP | 20% |

19-1 | $100,000 | 250XP | 10% |

49-1 | $250,000 | 500XP | 4% |

Consolation Prize |
$0 |
50XP |

So what is your best bet? Let’s take a look at what happens over 1,000 spins (roughly a years worth of tapping for the hardcore Addict who’ll play the downs almost the maximum three times per day).

2-1:

66.01% of the time, you spend $5,000 and get $15,000 and 100XP.

33.99% of the time, you spend $5,000 and get just 50XP

$ Formula = 660.1 x (-5,000 + 15,000) + 339.9 x (-5,000) = $4,901,500

XP Formula = 660.1 x (100) + 339.9 x (50) = 83,005XP

So after 1,000 bets at 2-1 odds, you would walk away with $4,001,500 in-game cash and 80,005XP.

9-1:

20% of the time, you spend $5,000 and get $50,000 and 150XP.

80% of the time, you spend $5,000 and get just 50XP

$ Formula = 200 x (-5,000 + 50,000) + 800 x (-5,000) = $5,000,000

XP Formula = 200 x (150) + 800 x (50) = 70,000XP

So after 1,000 bets at 9-1 odds, you would walk away with $5,000,000 in-game cash and 70,000XP.

19-1:

10% of the time, you spend $5,000 and get $100,000 and 250XP.

90% of the time, you spend $5,000 and get just 50XP

$ Formula = 100 x (-5,000 + 100,000) + 900 x (-5,000) = $5,000,000

XP Formula = 100 x (250) + 900 x (50) = 70,000XP

So after 1,000 bets at 19-1 odds, you would walk away with $5,000,000 in-game cash and 70,000XP.

49-1:

4% of the time, you spend $5,000 and get $250,000 and 500XP.

96% of the time, you spend $5,000 and get just 50XP

$ Formula = 40 x (-5,000 + 250,000) + 960 x (-5,000) = $5,000,000

XP Formula = 40 x (500) + 960 x (50) = 68,000XP

So after 1,000 bets at 49-1 odds, you would walk away with $5,000,000 in-game cash and 68,000XP.

*Go Kart Track Net Table after 1,000 bets*

Odds |
Net Cash |
Net XP |
% Chance |

2-1 | $4,901,500 | 83,005XP |
60.01% |

9-1 | $5,000,000 |
70,000XP | 20% |

19-1 | $5,000,000 |
70,000XP | 10% |

49-1 | $5,000,000 |
68,000XP | 4% |

So if you’re into in-game cash, your best bet is to stick to 9-1 or 19-1. But if you prefer XP, your best bet is to stick to 2-1.

How do you bet at the Karts? Will you change your betting ways after this post? Would you prefer in-game cash via 9-1 or 19-1 or XP via 2-1? What stats or strategy related topic would you liked discussed? Share your thoughts. You know we love hearing from you.

My go cart track doesn’t offer betting; only a cash payout. in fact, not until I read your post did I realize I was missing out. how do i trigger this? I did try storing it and then placing it back out into my Springfield but that didn’t do anything.

LikeLike

Nice post but I always bet on the Stig…

LikeLike

Where did you get those odds from!

LikeLike

They are programmed into the coding.

LikeLike

I love math posts, so thanks for posting.

LikeLiked by 1 person

How do I get the Go Kart Track?!

LikeLike

It was part of a mini-event, it’s not available right now.

LikeLiked by 1 person

You can’t right now. But maybe they’ll re-release it at some point (probably for donuts, but who knows….)

LikeLike

The nose knows is live.

LikeLike

Insanity Cauldron usable every 8 hours occasionally gives you a bonus item for playing with Homer. I’ve got a few Light-up Elder God from it that have 1% bonus money+XP to all jobs and improves Consumerism rating which is nice. Sometimes you get other things like Hieroglyph Wall, Cane Field, Pumpkin Patch but they don’t have a bonus.

LikeLiked by 1 person

I didn’t play this as I thought in betting, the house always win

LikeLiked by 1 person

Usually, but this is a game. They want to give you more things to tap and reward you for doing it so you will spend more time in the game. It’s not in their best interest to trick you.

LikeLiked by 2 people

Real quick…off topic…..sorry….Where is the character collections icon? I don’t go there much and always forget how to find it! Thanx in advance🎃👻🎃

LikeLike

Open the store. In the bottom left off your screen (not the store window) you should see a Homer statue icon. Tap on that to access the character groups.

LikeLike

I just always bet on the Red car! And in Downs I choose Dogbiscuit (?) not sure if that is his name in english – every time I play it. This way I win some loose some, but never really thought much about the odds. Wonder how the way I do it yields much less than playing the odds – or the same? 🙂

LikeLiked by 1 person

I go for Blue Racer and Drool Brittania all the time 🙂 I don’t really care about the result, I don’t have problem earning $, the extra XP is not that important to me either. I just like to have “my” dog and “my” car to bet on 🙂

LikeLiked by 1 person

Likewise. With the exact same car and dog. As cool as the extra cash/xp might be, I’ve been playing it this way for so long that those two definitely have a ‘mine’ feeling.

LikeLiked by 1 person

Is this correct? You say 2-1 odds means 66% chance to win. I think that is incorrect because 2-1 is a total of 3 and you win 1 of the 3 = 33%

So the expected payout is 1/3 of 15.000 = 5000

And if the odds are 9-1, I would say it means I win 10% of the time. Because 9-1 is a total of 10, and I win 1 out of 10.

The expected payout is 1/10 x 50.000 = 5.000

That way the expected payout in cash is the same for all bets.

Sorry if my math is confusing, but I don’t understand your explanation. I’m not sure if I’m right either, can someone else help me figure out what is correct?

LikeLiked by 1 person

The way all the betting games work, can’t be calculated, because all the games are rigged.

LikeLike

Your math is right but EAs isn’t. The percentages in the calculations are those programmed into the coding.

LikeLike

Hi Safi ❤

Bit off topic I know but is there a full list of all the playable characters in tsto? How many is there now?

It looks like the addicts list is a bit out of date and I thought you might know with your stats knowledge and all 🙂

Thank you!

LikeLike

There are at least 269 Fully Playable Characters (=FPC)

That’s the number of players that I have. The costumes are excluded in that number.

LikeLiked by 2 people

I have 269 too 🙂

I know there’s more than that as I don’t have a few that were extremely expensive Gil deals.

From the character sets I’m guessing 274 in total with the five I am missing but I could be wrong…

I also wonder how many npcs there are?

LikeLike

Those NPCs should be registered at some organization. This will make it easy to count them.

LikeLiked by 1 person

Pray for Mojo 🐒

LikeLike

I always bet the 2:1 – I like to win! 🙂

LikeLiked by 2 people

Safi, thanks to your two post about the bets I now tend to 19-1 chances for both. That reduces the amount of time needed for the actions – so thanks 🙂

LikeLiked by 1 person

Test

LikeLike