Salutations Senors, Senoras, Senoritas, Statisticians & Strategists,
(Today’s post is sponsored by the letter ‘S’)
Hi, I’m Super Safi and you may remember me from such stats and strategy posts as KEM Farming and the advanced losing-to-win Superheroes battle strategy.
After a stressful week of work or school, the weekend is finally here. And what better way to spend the weekend than talking math. So every few Saturday’s, I’ll come to you with a post that delves into the wonderful world of numbers, stats, and/or strategies.
This week we look at Springfield Downs.
Springfield Downs Odds Table
| Odds | Payout | XP | % Chance |
| 2-1 | $6,000 | 75XP | 50.51% |
| 5-1 | $12,000 | 100XP | 25.25% |
| 9-1 | $20,000 | 150XP | 15.15% |
| 19-1 | $40,000 | 250XP | 7.58% |
| 99-1 | $200,000 | 500XP | 1.52% |
| Consolation Prize | $0 | 50XP |
So what is your best bet? Let’s take a look at what happens over 1,000 spins (roughly a years worth of tapping for the hardcore Addict who’ll play the downs almost the maximum three times per day).
2-1:
50.51% of the time, you spend $2,000 and get $6,000 and 75XP.
49.49% of the time, you spend $2,000 and get just 50XP
$ Formula = 505.1 x (-2,000 + 6,000) + 494.9 x (-2,000) = $1,030,600
XP Formula = 505.1 x (75) + 494.9 x (50) = 62,627.5XP
So after 1,000 bets at 2-1 odds, you would walk away with $1,030,600 in-game cash and 62,627.5XP.
5-1:
25.25% of the time, you spend $2,000 and get $12,000 and 100XP.
74.75% of the time, you spend $2,000 and get just 50XP
$ Formula = 252.5 x (-2,000 + 12,000) + 747.5 x (-2,000) = $1,030,000
XP Formula = 252.5 x (100) + 747.5 x (50) = 62,625XP
So after 1,000 bets at 5-1 odds, you would walk away with $1,030,000 in-game cash and 62,625XP.
9-1:
15.15% of the time, you spend $2,000 and get $20,000 and 150XP.
84.85% of the time, you spend $2,000 and get just 50XP
$ Formula = 151.5 x (-2,000 + 20,000) + 848.5 x (-2,000) = $1,030,000
XP Formula = 151.5 x (150) + 848.5 x (50) = 65,150XP
So after 1,000 bets at 9-1 odds, you would walk away with $1,030,000 in-game cash and 65,150XP.
19-1:
7.58% of the time, you spend $2,000 and get $40,000 and 250XP.
92.42% of the time, you spend $2,000 and get just 50XP
$ Formula = 75.8 x (-2,000 + 40,000) + 924.2 x (-2,000) = $1,032,000
XP Formula = 75.8 x (250) + 924.2 x (50) = 65,160XP
So after 1,000 bets at 19-1 odds, you would walk away with $1,032,000 in-game cash and 65,160XP.
99-1:
1.52% of the time, you spend $2,000 and get $200,000 and 500XP.
98.48% of the time, you spend $2,000 and get just 50XP
$ Formula = 15.2 x (-2,000 + 200,000) + 984.8 x (-2,000) = $1,040,000
XP Formula = 15.2 x (500) + 984.8 x (50) = 56,840XP
So after 1,000 bets at 99-1 odds, you would walk away with $1,040,000 in-game cash and 56,840XP.
Springfield Downs Net Table after 1,000 bets
| Odds | Net Cash | Net XP | % Chance |
| 2-1 | $1,030,600 | 62,627.5XP | 50.51% |
| 5-1 | $1,030,000 | 62,625XP | 25.25% |
| 9-1 | $1,030,000 | 65,150XP | 15.15% |
| 19-1 | $1,032,000 | 65,160XP | 7.58% |
| 99-1 | $1,040,000 | 56,840XP | 1.52% |
So if you’re into in-game cash, your best bet is to stick to 99-1. But if you prefer XP, your best bet is to stick to 19-1.
How do you bet at the track? Will you change your betting ways after this post? Would you prefer in-game cash via 99-1 or XP via 19-1? What aspect of the game’s stats and strategies would you like me to discuss next? Share your thoughts. You know we love hearing from you.
Minigames:
Springfield Downs, Go Kart Tracks, Insanity Mode, Sideshow You, Rocket Launch Pad, Claw Machine, Scratch-R, The Eliminator, Bigclaw, Excavation Site, Drone Scan, Sci-Fighter, Where’s Maggie