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It Doesn’t Add Up….Or Does It? The Math of TSTO Easter

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Hey Howdy Hey Tappers!

I see that many of you are now starting to unlock the Easter content and are so far loving the event!  What’s not to love?  Hunting wabbits and free stuff!  Oh and did I mention FREE donuts?  Not only are donuts in the questline (check here for the post) but many Tappers are reporting they’re STILL earning donuts from tapping neighbor’s buildings, as long as they’re maxed out on Friend Points (check here for more details on donuts in FP)!  Not a bad way to have an event start off, right?

So now that many of you are starting to unlock the content, and some of you are acquiring your first Easter Box, I see some of you starting to question the math of it all.  As I explained in my odds post with this event you’re guaranteed to unlock all of the items, as long as you’re diligent with your tapping.  And some of you are starting to say…’wait a min!  81 attempts to guarantee it x 500 Eggs = 40,500 Eggs/color!  That’s impossible to do!’

And you know what?  Those of you thinking like that…you’re right.  It is impossible to do in the way you’re thinking.  The problem is…you’re thinking about it all wrong.  You’re taking the literal conversion of exactly how many eggs you get and coming up WAY short.  However, as they say…there’s more than 1 way to skin a cat…er bunny?

Those of you taking the literal conversions into account you’re forgetting an IMPORTANT aspect of this update….games of chance.  Let’s break it all down and I’ll show you how you can earn enough to unlock everything….with out using donuts.  All you need is diligent tapping and patience.  You may not get something until the very last day, but keep your patience and don’t lose your cool!

Let’s start with the basics…how many eggs you can earn and where you can earn them.

Remember, the color eggs you earn most often greatly depends on if you’re pink or blue (check out this post to see which one you are).  Which ever group you’re in that’s your dominant egg color.  So when I say you’ll earn your dominant egg color I mean it to indicate the group you’re in.  So if you’re in the blue group your dominant egg color is blue and if you’re in the pink group your dominant egg group is pink.  Got it?  Good 🙂

     

Ok so let’s start with the main questline.  You can find the full main questline walkthrough here, and it breaks up exactly how many eggs you’ll earn and where.  So over the course of the entire main questline you will earn 5,215 of your dominant color egg.   That’s from completed task bonuses and character actions.

Let’s talk about those character actions now.  Once you’ve unlocked the task in the main questline (ie that part comes up as a quest for you to complete) you will unlock that task for that character to earn Easter Eggs, instead of cash, for the Easter themed specific task.  UPDATE: This only applies to Nelson and Ralph, because they run through a different questline.  Ned and Moe’s should unlock prior to having to do it in the quest.  Which characters will earn you eggs throughout the entire event?  Here’s the complete this:
Homer– 12hr task to Steal Easter Eggs- Earns 25 Eggs of your dominant color
Ned16 hr task to Hunt Bunnies- Earns 30 Eggs of your dominant color
Ralph– 16hr task to Collect Easter Eggs- Earns 30 Eggs of your dominant color
Nelson- 16hr task to Raid Bird Nests- Earns 30 Eggs of your dominant color
Moe- 32 hr task to Hunt Bunnies with Prejudice- Earns 55 Eggs of your dominant color
Crazy Cat Lady (if you purchased her)– 24hr task to throw Bunnies- Earns 70 Eggs of your dominant Color

So conservatively…and assuming you didn’t purchase Crazy Cat Lady and sent Homer on his task twice a day & everyone else once a day (except Moe)…you can earn at least 3,775 eggs over the event just from making the characters do tasks.

Now let’s break down the bunnies.  When you whack or zap bunnies they’ll earn you either 1-2 eggs (and sometimes bonuses like Baskets or the Faberge Egg!…Faberge Egg chance only happens AFTER you’ve completed the main quest).  Now Bunnies “spawn” in your town at a rate of 1 every 5 minutes automatically.  They will max out at 40 bunnies, but up to 20 bunnies will store in the “bank”.  Meaning they’ll keeping “spawning” but won’t show in your town until you’ve cleared out some of the 40 bunnies in your town.  Once you’ve cleared 1 of the 40 it’ll be replaced instantly by one of the 20 in the bank and a new one will “spawn” and sit in the bank.  Make sense?  So basically every 5 hrs you can get 60 bunnies from your town automatically.

Now assuming you go into your town every 4.75 hrs and clear out the Bunnies and do this at least 3 times a day….you’ll earn at least 5,200 eggs (figuring it’ll give you 60 bunnies at a clip because it will take you 15 minutes to find every bunny in your town).  Taking into account that some will give you 2 eggs and some only give you 1.  In this example we assume 20 bunnies out of 180 gave you 2 eggs when tapped.  

Another way you can get MORE bunnies in your town is to plant carrots at Cletus’s farm.  Carrots are unlocked during part 8 of the main walkthrough.  They take 4 hrs to grow and when complete they award you 10 bunnies.  So assuming you plant carrots at least 3 times a day once unlocked, that’s an additional 30 bunnies in your town.  Again these bunnies can give you 1 or 2 eggs each.  We’ll assume for this example you’ll earn 36 eggs per day.  Conservatively once you unlock the carrots on the farm and grow them continuously you could earn an additional 720 eggs, at least.  Note: Clear out your town of Bunnies before you harvest the carrots from the farm.  Other wise the 10 bunnies will count towards your total bunny count (and could result in you getting fewer than 60 Bunnies every 5 hrs) UPDATE: Confirmed…you can use Witch Marge to speed this and year 10 bunnies every 2 hrs.  Full post with details on this here

Towards the end of the main questline you are awarded Frink’s Egg Generator.  This will earn you 75 eggs of your dominant color every 12hrs.  Assuming you do this twice a day, once you unlock it, you could earn an additional 2,850 eggs of your dominant color, at least.

You can also earn eggs from your friends.  This is on a sliding scale and you can find out more details on this here. Assuming you have at least 75 neighbors (and i know many of you have 100, and you visit them everyday) you can earn at least 435 eggs from neighbors per day (based on 75.  At 100 neighbors you can earn 510 eggs per day).  Over the course of the event that converts to at least 8,970 Eggs (13,260 for 100 neighbors).

 

So here’s a break down of the Eggs you can earn up to this point:
5,215 Eggs for Main Walkthrough (Once Complete)
3,775 Eggs for making characters do tasks (Homer twice a day, others 1/day)
5,200 Eggs from Bunnies in your town (60/5 hrs..clear town every 4.75hrs)
720 Eggs from growing Carrots on Cletus’s Farm.  4hrs- 3x/day
2,850 Eggs from Frink’s Egg Generator (clearing it twice/day)
13,260 Eggs from 100 Neighbors
For 30,020 at this point.

But we’re not done just yet….

Easter baskets are another way to get eggs.  Easter baskets can be won in the Golden Easter Box OR won when you zap a bunny (in addition to eggs)….don’t spend donuts on them!  They’re a 1 time use but when placed in YOUR town you can earn up to 400 free eggs from your neighbors for EACH basket you place (free meaning you don’t lose eggs).  In addition you can give your neighbor 100 eggs of a color you don’t need (your dominant color) in exchange for 50 of a color you do need.  Exchange rate may be bad BUT at least you’ll get useful Eggs in return!

So those are all the ways you can EARN eggs in the game.  But I know what you’re thinking…it doesn’t equal anywhere NEAR what you would need to be guaranteed to unlock all of the prizes.  Or does it?

You see, what most people are forgetting, part of earning more eggs comes from buying Easter boxes (with Eggs, not donuts).  Not everyone in this game is weighted the same when it comes to earning prizes.  Everyone is broken up into 2 groups, pink and blue (as I explained in this post).  Whichever group you’re in means that Easter Box has a better advantage for you, so you’ll unlock all of the prizes much sooner than 81 attempts.  This is because the odds for each coveted prize are higher and weighted in your favor, while the odds for the non-coveted prizes (the fences, trees, ponds etc) are lower and weighted towards the other group more.  Meaning you’re less likely to land on a fence in your dominant group than you are your non-dominant group.  With me so far?

What this means is you will need a LOT less than the 81 attempts to unlock all of the prizes in your dominant group & at that point you can stop “playing” that box and exchange eggs with your neighbors.  Give them 100 of your dominant eggs, which you no longer need, in exchange for 50 of your non-dominant egg which you do need.

In your non-dominant box (and we’re still talking about pink and blue here) the odds are stacked up more against you.  Less likely that you’ll unlock the coveted items and more likely that you’ll unlock the non-coveted items.  While the odds aren’t terrible, they’re not the greatest either.  While you certainly can unlock everything in less than 81 attempts…actually a LOT less (for me it was 27 attempts).  Some of you may need all 81 attempts to unlock everything (but I honestly think you’ll hit it much sooner based on the percentages and probability…but there’s always that 1 tapper).

Think of the 81 as a fail safe.  Basically a way that if you haven’t unlocked the character/item at a certain point you are guaranteed to get it at that point.  But more than likely the odds are that you will unlock it all sooner.

Additionally….once you’ve unlocked the coveted/unique items in your box they will be replaced by 250 Eggs of a different color.  For example if you clear the Block-o Store in your Pink Easter Box it will be replaced by 250 Blue Eggs.  Similarly if you clear the Egg Council Guy from your Blue Easter Box it’ll be replaced by 250 Pink Eggs.  So MORE opportunity to earn Eggs within the Boxes!

Now let’s talk about the Gold boxes.  You win Eggs for your Gold boxes by playing each Easter Box.  The odds that you’ll land on Gold Eggs are the same for both boxes (45%…) and they are pretty darn good BUT your dominant color box you’ll only land on 100 Gold Eggs and in your non-dominant color box you’ll land on 300 Gold Eggs.  But these pile up even faster than fences and umbrella’s when you’re trying to unlock items!  So it’s pretty quick to earn enough Gold Eggs to buy a box.

Now with the Gold Eggs it’s a little tricky.  The odds are the same for everyone BUT unique/coveted items are replaced with….250 Eggs of a color (blue or pink) when won.  Which means more chances to earn eggs via the Gold Box!

Banana Dictatorship and Bunny 24601 are all replaced with 250 eggs of a color. -Banana Dictatorship is replaced with Pink eggs
-Bunny 24601 is replaced with Blue eggs.

This is important because…the odds for the Banana Dictatorship (16%) and Bunny 25601 (12%) are high (and they’re guaranteed to unlock at a max of 20 attempts..no min) so there is a good chance you’ll land on these fairly early in the process.  Once replaced by eggs those eggs hold the same odds to win…and again those odds are high.  While the fences and gates are still at higher odds (although the gate isn’t much higher),  Kodos, Kang, Hugs & Shary are all at lower odds.  So there’s a very high chance you’ll unlock more eggs, to get more spins!

Whew!  Everyone still with me?  Still awake?!  Bueller? Bueller?  😉

I KNOW it’s a lot to process.  So here’s my advice: don’t over think it, just play!

Don’t get frustrated that you haven’t unlocked Shary Bobbins on day 5…you have plenty of time and you will get there.  You have 26 more days to earn all of the eggs you can get.  Just keep checking on your Springfield (preferably every 4.5hrs), visit your friends daily, clear your handshakes, zap the bunnies, send your characters on tasks to earn eggs and ENJOY it!  It’s a hilarious questline that’ll make you giggle and a fun update!  So relax and enjoy Tappers….or should I say Zappers? 😉

What do YOU think of the update?  How are you doing at unlocking the prizes?  Have you tried the Egg Swap yet?  You collecting eggs at a furious pace?  Sound off in the comments below, you know we LOVE hearing from you!

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